Larmet: ”Frankrike kan tända ny eurokris”

Frankrikes växande statsskuld, skenande räntekostnader och populistiska politiker kan bli startskottet för en ny eurokris, varnar Länsförsäkringar i en ny konjunkturrapport.

”Alla pratar om USA:s långränteuppgång, men titta på den franska tioåringen – den lutar ännu brantare uppåt och skulle kunna tända en ny eurokris.

Även Storbritannien har liknande superproblem som USA”, säger Länsförsäkringars chefsekonom Alexandra Stråberg.

”Behöver Europa lösa ut Frankrike som man gjorde med Grekland för 15 år sedan blir det kaos i Europa, både ekonomiskt och politiskt.

DI 23 september 2026, 10:53

https://www.di.se/nyheter/larmet-frankrike-kan-tanda-ny-eurokris/


The European Central Bank will always step in to mop up French debt in the end because the eurozone would disintegrate if it did not.

In strict legal terms, the ECB may activate its intervention tool (TPI) only to buy the debt of countries that pursue “sound fiscal and macroeconomic policies” and where the “trajectory of public debt is sustainable”. 

France obviously fails the test and that gives the ECB carte blanche to be obstructive.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Telegraph 29 August 2025 

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/09/france-on-autopilot-by-enarques-and-its.html


The European Fiscal Board questioned the European Commission's enforcement of budget rules on France and Italy.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-21/eu-executive-challenged-over-fiscal-control-of-italy-and-france


The European Fiscal Board 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Fiscal_Board



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