AI. The right questions to ask are evolving.
Is the AI revolution real? Obviously. Will it deliver returns to match the high cost of building it out? Maybe. Who will capture the economic value? That’s harder. New technologies often trace a similar pattern. Railways, electricity, cars, the internet and now AI have had three phases. First, an innovative technology. Next, the infrastructure to deliver that technology to a mass market. Only then do the real beneficiaries emerge. The right question to ask now is what happens and who benefits when what is scarce today becomes abundant tomorrow. It will only be when everyone’s computer is running Claude or Perplexity, and we’ve all worked out how to use it, that AI will be transformative. Another pertinent question is: what becomes possible when everyone has AI? The biggest risk for today’s AI winners is not that AI fails but that it is so successful that the scarcity they can sell so profitably today becomes an abundant and cheap commodity. Tom Stevenson Te...