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Ambrose, Bank of England, ECB, Solar

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 and $20tn-$30tn assets and $7tn debts of the global fossil complex While politicians across Europe have been fighting a culture war over air conditioners and the causes of the deadly heat shock, central banks have been taking matters into their own hands. The Bank of England has slipped through market notice 11, entitled “Changes to collateral eligibility in the Sterling Monetary Framework”. Fossil fuel companies will face bigger haircuts from October onwards. Their debt will be worth less as collateral for borrowing money or securing a trade, depending on how far along they are on the green-to-brown spectrum. Lenders will also have to integrate the financial risks of climate change in their stress testing and models. “The direction of travel is clear. Banks are going to have to set aside more capital when lending to some fossil companies,”. The European Central Bank (ECB) is acting in parallel, using pillar two of the global “Basel regime” to squeeze loans to high polluters and s...

1 juli. Democratic Socialists “hard core, godless Communists”. Annika Ström Melin: Nej tack till superstat – men... en toppstyrd mardröm.

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Ambrose, Bank of England, ECB, Solar   https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/07/ambrose-bank-of-england-ecb-solar.html Democratic Socialist, “hard core, godless Communists”, wins Colorado primary Melat Kiros, a 29-year-old first-time candidate, endorsed by progressive Vermont senator Bernie Sanders and California Democratic congressman Ro Khanna.  She was backed by Justice Democrats, the group that helped catapult Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Congress in 2018. Her victory comes a week after three congressional candidates backed by New York City’s mayor Zohran Mamdani swept their Democratic primaries, ousting two sitting lawmakers from the party. US President Donald Trump last week called Democratic Socialists “hard core, godless Communists” Financial Times 1 July 2026 https://www.ft.com/content/36b9c745-5934-48b0-a505-f45d196ad632?syn-25a6b1a6=1 Annika Ström Melin: Nej tack till superstat – men... en toppstyrd mardröm. Sverige har varit en del av EU under drygt trettio år, men...

30 juni. Tysk förlust mot Paraguay, men goda nyheter från Östfronten. A global megatrend now under way. Ryskt nederlag i VK3.

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  Tyskt jättefiasko – utslaget av Paraguay https://www.dn.se/sport/tyskt-jattefiasko-utslaget-av-paraguay-efter-straffdrama/ Attackvågor mot Moskva Rapporterna kommer sedan Ukrainas president Volodymyr Zelenskyj i förra veckan tillkännagav en 40 dagar lång offensiv som ska pressa Ryssland till ett krigsslut. Bara under natten mot fredagen anföll Ukraina landet med sammanlagt 660 drönare. https://www.dn.se/direkt/ukraina/2026-06-30/ryssland-attackvagor-mot-moskva/ Putin makes rare admission of fuel shortages caused by Ukrainian strikes In Russia, the impact of Ukraine's missile and drone strikes on energy infrastructure from Moscow to the Black Sea and beyond has long been evident. In recent months, Ukraine has been growing in confidence that the tide of war was turning in its favour, launching deep strikes on St Petersburg and Moscow, stepping up attacks on Crimea, and openly seeking to inflict maximum casualties along the front line. BBC 29 June 2026 https://www.bbc.com/news/artic...

29 juni. Strategernas intåg. Berlin Airlift. Yen Hits 40-Year Low. Iran Is Winning the Battle of Hormuz

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Yen Hits 40-Year Low The BOJ lifted its benchmark interest rate on June 16 to 1%, the highest since 1995. https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/01/japan.html Tre av landets tyngsta strateger tror att uppgången kan fortsätta https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/tre-av-landets-tyngsta-strateger-tror.html Vandenberg and the Berlin Airlift https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/01/vandenberg-and-berlin-airlift.html Iran Is Winning the Battle of Hormuz Tehran is using force to gain control over traffic through the Strait . The Editorial Board Wall Street Journal 28 June 2026 https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/04/8-april-vapenvila.html Who Cares? Breda uppgångar på Wall Street – Space X i täten Fem av sju aktier inom ”Magnificent Seven” uppåt. Meta Platforms, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Tesla och Apple steg 1,3–8,5 procent.  Microsoft och Apple var ned 1,2 procent respektive 0,7 procent. https://www.di.se/live/breda-uppgangar-pa-wall-street-space-x-i-taten/ Investerare tycks välj...

Tre av landets tyngsta strateger tror att uppgången kan fortsätta

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  ”Vi ser att molnen skingras”, säger Nordeas chefsstrateg Marie Giertz. ”I år handlar det om vinsttillväxt – inte värdering.” säger Molly Guggenheimer. DI 28 juni 2026, 18:13 https://www.di.se/nyheter/strategerna-sa-gar-borsen-under-andra-halvaret/ En AI-bubbla som spricker, inflation i kölvattnet av Irankriget och dåliga statsfinanser är de största hoten just nu, varnar Bank for International Settlements (BIS) i en årsrapport. DI/TT 28 juni 2026 https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2011/06/bis-has-warned-that-low-interest-rates.html AI ‘exuberance’ risks ending in lengthy investment bust, BIS warns https://www.ft.com/content/e81ce414-e4bd-4e8c-bac7-94f7bf17def4?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Despite the Trump mayhem the dollar has been surprisingly resilient

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Adam Tooze 28 June 2026 https://adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-1146-the-dollars-resilience This 10% decline looks like a modest currency realignment rather than the onset of a sharper decline that took place in the 1980’s (after the Plaza Accord to deliberately weaken the dollar), or the decline in the early 2000’s after the launch of the Euro. Source: Cembalest in JPM https://assets.jpmprivatebank.com/content/dam/jpm-pb-aem/global/en/documents/eotm/semiquincententacles.pdf A ‘Mar-a-Lago Accord’; like Plaza Accord, followed by Louvre Accord https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/02/a-mar-lago-accord-like-plaza-accord.html Weakening the dollar is a good idea https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2024/10/weakening-dollar-is-good-idea.html Konflikter om hur man ska justera externa obalanser återkommit ungefär vartannat decennium sedan 1980-talet.  Varför är hanteringen av globala obalanser i betalningsbalansen både så svår och så viktig?   Det korta svaret är att de ligger i...

28 juni. Xi, Trump och Putin. German growth underperformed eurozone since 2019. Dollar surprisingly resilient. China Shock 2.0

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  Despite the Trump mayhem the dollar has been surprisingly resilient https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/despite-trump-mayhem-dollar-has-been.html China Shock 2.0 https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2024/07/the-emerging-china-shock-20-ambrose.html Xi, Trump och Putin https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/03/trump-ar-inte-klok.html China, once a glutton for goods made in Germany, has turned into a mercantilist superpower. It produces many of the same things at a fraction of the price and often with equivalent—if not better—quality.  In 2003, the government of then-Chancellor Gerhard Schröder took an ax to unemployment benefits, gave employers more say in setting wages and lowered taxes. German GDP growth has underperformed that of the eurozone since 2019 https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/06/german-chancellor-friedrich-merz-mgga.html Trycket på Moderaterna att hitta ett anslag som kan bära partiet i valrörelsen ökar, Fredrik Johansson, Simona Mohamsson https://englund...

Trycket på Moderaterna att hitta ett anslag som kan bära partiet i valrörelsen ökar, Fredrik Johansson, Simona Mohamsson

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 Trycket på Moderaterna att hitta ett anslag som kan bära partiet i valrörelsen och lägga grunden för en andra mandatperiod ökar. Simona Mohamsson klev upp på Almedalsscenen med det strålande humör som blivit hennes signum.  Det är bra att Liberalerna driver frågan om halverad statlig inkomstskatt. Målet borde vara att fullt ut avskaffa denna utbildningsskatt. En reform som över tid i hög grad skulle vara självfinansierad  Trycket på Moderaterna att hitta ett anslag som kan bära partiet i valrörelsen och lägga grunden för en andra mandatperiod ökar Fredrik Johansson SvD 27 juni 2026 https://www.svd.se/a/zO6X9r/ulf-kristerssons-valkamp-mot-klockan  Fredrik Johansson, konsult hos Hallvarsson & Halvarsson https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/euromotstandet-fortsatter-vaxa-hogsta.html Ingen tror på Ulf – inte ens hans egna Trötta och uppgivna moderater.  Som himlar med ögonen, som undrar om statsministern inte kan skaffa sig en annan pr-konsult än sin fru. ...

Oman Tells Allies Ships Going Through Hormuz May Have to Pay

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  Omani officials said they will always abide by international maritime law, but added there could be fees for services related to de-polluting the strait or helping ships navigate it. The US, Europe and Oman's Gulf Arab neighbors are increasingly concerned that Oman will set up a tolling or fee system with Iran for the Strait of Hormuz. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-26/oman-tells-allies-ships-going-through-hormuz-may-have-to-pay

China Rattles Hong Kong, the World’s Top Offshore Wealth Hub

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They worry the crackdown “is just the tip of the iceberg, and that more restrictive policies or enforcement concerning cross-border capital flows could be coming,” At stake is hundreds of billions of dollars of mainland wealth that has bolstered everything from luxury spending and real estate to the stock market. Bloomberg 23 June 2026  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-06-23/china-s-offshore-capital-outflow-crackdown-hits-hong-kong-wealth-boom Cayman Islands. A Sunny Place for a Shady Online Business https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2021/12/a-sunny-place-for-shady-online-business.html Hong Kong Overtakes Switzerland as Top Offshore Wealth Hub https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/04/mbaer-merchant-bank-liquidation-us.html

Trumps tidigare säkerhetsrådgivare erkänner brott. Det gör inte Kristerssons tidigare säkerhetsrådgivare. Petra Lärke ny ambassadör i Moldavien.

https://www.svt.se/nyheter/utrikes/trumps-tidigare-sakerhetsradgivare-erkanner-brott Det gör inte Kristerssons tidigare säkerhetsrådgivare  – Då skulle de haft en röd stämpel på sig, säger Landerholm i förhör. I förhören med Petra Lärke säger hon att ett ”H” i blyerts är praxis för att signalera att innehållet bedömts vara säkerhetsklassat och ska läggas i ett säkerhetsskåp eller förstöras. https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/08/rattegangen-mot-henrik-landerholm.html  Petra Lärke ny ambassadör i Moldavien https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/05/henrik-landerholm-atalades-for.html Sveriges ambassad Chisinau, Moldavien https://www.swedenabroad.se/sv/utlandsmyndigheter/moldavien-chisinau/ostliga-partnerskapet/

26 juni. Kan Ulf Kristersson vända underläget? Teknikbolag har rasat både i USA och i Asien. Fregatter. Micron rasade 6,7 procent.

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  Oman Tells Allies Ships Going Through Hormuz May Have to Pay https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/oman-tells-allies-ships-going-through.html Indexen hoppade mellan plus och minus. Till slut stängde de amerikanska börserna på rött. AI-bolagen fortsatte att pressas – Micron rasade 6,7 procent och Qualcomm 7,6 procent. Sandisk föll 10,5 procent. https://www.di.se/live/svangig-handelsdag-pa-wall-street/ US Strikes Iran In Response to Strait of Hormuz Ship Attack US Central Command said that American aircraft on Friday hit Iranian missile and drone storage sites as well as coastal radar installations, calling it a “powerful response to yesterday’s attack.” Bloomberg 26 June 2026 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-26/us-strikes-iran-in-response-to-ship-attack-in-strait-of-hormuz Stockholmsbörsen avslutade fredagshandeln på minus efter förnyad AI-oro. Verkstadsjättarna vände till minus och Mildef steg på nytt ramavtal med FMV. DI 26 juni 2026, 18:20 https://www.di.se/l...

The UK has had six prime ministers in the past 10 years, with each ending in humiliation

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The UK has had six prime ministers in the past 10 years and is about to anoint a seventh without scrutiny, with each premiership ending in humiliation. Keir Starmer entering 10 Downing Street as the new  Labour Prime Minister 5th July 2024 The country is pioneering a new form of rule called "government by emotional spasm", where politicians are fixated on and then quickly discarded in favor of new ones. This system is alarming because it is incompatible with good government, requiring consistent policies and effective rule, but instead leads to short-lived enthusiasm followed by long-term disappointment and disintegration.  Brexit bears some of the blame for this. It was the ultimate emotional spasm — a revolt against the status quo in the name of national identity and giving the establishment a kicking.  Adrian Wooldridge Bloomberg June 25, 2026 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-06-25/starmer-burnham-britain-is-a-victim-of-government-by-emotional-spasm ...

Svenska militärer grunden för det moderna Iran - Hjalmarssons son Jarl

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År 1911 anländer Harald Hjalmarsson till Persien som ledare för den grupp svenska militärer som accepterat ett erbjudande från landets regering om att träda i persisk tjänst.  De ska bygga upp en polisstyrka – ett gendarmeri – med ansvar för att upprätthålla lag och ordning. 1915 kallades de svenska officerarna hem av sin regering, som inte ville att landets neutralitet skulle riskeras efter det att första världskriget brutit ut året innan.  Harald Hjalmarssons son Jarl  blev ledare för det svenska Högerpartiet. Boris Benulic Epoch Times 25 juni 2026 https://www.epochtimes.se/svenska-militarer-och-det-moderna-iran

25 juni Oil price back at prewar levels. Trump expected “loyalty” from Nato allies. UK has had six prime ministers in the past 10 years

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Nasdaq stängde på rött för fjärde handelsdagen i rad med alla Mag 7-bolag på minus.  Micron rapportlyfte 15 procent medan Microsoft och Apple föll efter nya prishöjningar. https://www.di.se/live/nasdaq-fortsatte-nedat-micron-rapportlyfte/ The UK has had six prime ministers in the past 10 years   https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/the-uk-has-had-six-prime-ministers-in.html Another day of record-breaking heat https://edition.cnn.com/2026/06/25/climate/europe-heat-france-uk-records Versailles is an inauspicious /olycksbådande, illavarslande/  venue to launch peace talk How Iran-US Talks Can Avoid Versailles Syndrome Lionel Laurent Bloomberg June 25, 2026 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2026-06-25/how-iran-us-talks-can-avoid-versailles-syndrome Spegelsalen i Versailles den 18 januari 1871, när Vilhelm I utropas till tysk kejsare efter segern i fransk-tyska kriget. https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/06/spegelsalen-i-versailles-den-18-januari.html Stockhol...