Credit Default Swaps - CDS.

Investors are racing to buy credit default swaps to protect their portfolios in the event the AI boom unravels, sending trading volumes surging for an instrument that shot to prominence during the global financial crisis.

More than $9bn worth of CDS linked to bonds issued by Oracle, SpaceX, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Broadcom and Nvidia was traded on average each week in September, up from less than $2bn in July.

“CDS has become a key bellwether of investor sentiment towards hyperscaler funding and the broader AI trade”

Financial Times 20 October 2026

https://www.ft.com/content/6dd31584-064c-4015-bf5d-e5747799ccd5?syn-25a6b1a6=1


A reasonable rule of thumb in markets is that whenever you hear the letters C, D and S in one sentence, something bad is happening.

Förra veckan en livlig och nyttig generalrepetition för hur en sprickande AI-bubbla skulle kunna se ut.


Bill Demchak called the “prince of darkness” after he led the development of the credit-default swap market.

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/09/bill-demchak-called-prince-of-darkness.html


How Credit Default Swaps Work

In the 2008-2009 financial crisis that nearly took down the entire U.S. financial system was a boom in collateralized debt obligations (bundles of risky mortgages) and 

credit default swaps (insurance deals on risky mortgages.) 

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2023/10/country-gardens-missed-payment-triggers.html


Eurokrisen: När är en händelse inte ett event? Ett event som kan utlösa Credit Default Swaps?

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2011/06/eurokrisen-nar-ar-en-handelse-som-i.html


Volcker argued that bankers’ only invention of the previous two decades that had actually helped people was the automated teller machine (bankomater), while innovations like credit default swaps had “brought us to the brink of destruction.”

JK Galbraith, writer of a classic account of the Great Crash of 1929

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2026/04/svd-ingen-anlednint-till-oro-privata.html


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