Börsen 17 april 2024 Higher-for-Longer - dollar, markets and other central banks


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Higher-for-Longer - dollar, markets and other central banks can’t keep up

What’s not clear is whether the impact of higher US rates had yet seeped into the foreign exchange market, or into the calculations of other central banks. 

It looks as though it hadn’t. 

ECB will cut earlier and more. 

The pressure on the euro looks likely to be unremitting, as the differential in favor of Treasury yields over bunds is the widest this decade:

Equity valuations exceed historical norms, with the S&P 500 trading at 20 times analysts’ 12-month forward earnings forecast compared to an average of about 15 times since 1985

John Authers Bloomberg 17 april 2024  




The 2% Inflation Target Regime Should Now Be Retired

Marcus Ashworth Bloomberg 17 april 2024






"Somewhat elevated" - Stagflation - monetary policy

Highly recommended




A radical theory is spreading as economy defies expectations

What If Fed Rate Hikes Are Actually Sparking US Economic Boom?

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2024/04/a-radical-theory-is-spreading-as.html




Meanwhile in New York


Slut







Risken för att en ränteuppgång i USA skulle påverka svenska räntor är förstås minimal   
OBS ironi.
Mattias Lundbäck Facebook 17 april 2024



There is a key measure in markets to watch right now: the equity risk premium



 – Vi måste bli en verklig europeisk union, manar Italiens förre premiärminister Enrico Letta /och Draghi/

– Vi måste bli en verklig europeisk union, manar Italiens förre premiärminister Enrico Letta (englundmacro.blogspot.com)


Börsen 16 april 2024 börjar neråt - ”horoskop för killar”

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2024/04/borsen-16-april-2024-borjar-nerat.html



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