Wall Street 10 oktober 2025

 


Börsen hade handlats svagt uppåt under stora delar av dagen innan USA:s president Donald Trump vid 17-tiden hotat Kina med ”massiva höjningar” av tullar mot landet. 

Han anklagar Kina för att ha blivit ”fientliga” i handelsdispyten länderna emellan, sedan Kina stramat åt sina regler för export av kritiska jordartsmetaller. 
https://www.di.se/live/borsen-stangde-pa-rott-efter-trumps-nya-tullhot/




Sämsta dagen på Wall Street sedan tullkaoset i april
Nvidia backade 4,9 procent
https://www.di.se/live/samsta-dagen-pa-wall-street-sedan-tullkaoset-i-april/


7 april 2025 C-Day
https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/04/rolf-lanktips-7-april-2025-c-day.html



Stocks reversed gains and soybeans extended losses after Trump’s post
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-10/trump-says-he-sees-no-reason-to-meet-xi-threatens-new-tariffs





Many investors now follow a simple rule when markets decline: “Buy the dip.” 
Investors now expect rescue packages at the first sign of trouble, and will keep buying the dip.
https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/07/buy-dip.html




The collapse in migration is an enormous and underappreciated shock to the economy. Between 2000 and 2020 annual net migration into America was 1m, on average; under President Joe Biden it reached 2.5m a year. In 2025 net migration could be zero or negative for the first recorded time since the Depression.
https://www.economist.com/leaders/2025/10/09/donald-trumps-fortress-economy-is-starting-to-hurt-america

Putin is losing the war, so prepare for escalation
The clock is ticking for Russia’s leader
that means Europe faces an imminent danger
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/10/10/putin-is-losing-the-war-so-prepare-for-escalation/


Japan’s governing coalition abruptly collapsed 
https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/10/japans-governing-coalition-abruptly.html


Private Credit
The private credit market $1.5 trillion

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/10/private-credit.html



The Big Dollar Short
Betting against the dollar has been the dominant trade this year in the $9.6 trillion-a-day foreign-exchange market, but the wager is starting to stumble.
The longer the strength persists, the more painful it is for those sticking with calls for the greenback to take another leg lower. 
Among the bears: Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley.
Bloomberg 10 oktober 2025
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-10/the-big-dollar-short-is-turning-into-a-pain-trade-for-investors


JPMorgan Chase is sounding out investors for a significant risk transfer tied to a $2 billion portfolio of loans used to buy private jets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-09/jpmorgan-eyes-srt-deal-tied-to-2-billion-of-private-jet-loans


AI Jobs Shock Is Coming Klarna CEO Says

I think there is a massive shift coming to knowledge work. And it’s not just in banking, it’s in society at large”.

“Society will have to figure out what are we going to do because yes, new jobs will be created, but in the shorter term, that doesn’t help the Brussels translator. 
He’s not going to become a YouTube influencer tomorrow,” 
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-10/ai-jobs-shock-is-coming-and-firms-aren-t-ready-klarna-ceo-says



Sverige ökar farten
Allt mer talar för att den svenska ekonomin till slut är på väg att skjuta fart.
https://www.di.se/nyheter/sverige-okar-farten/




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