Goldman Sachs: one thing could turn Ai into a bubble - Competition Circular
“History suggests that bubbles are often driven by exuberance that builds around a transformative technology, attracting investors, capital and new entrants. Typically, bubbles exhibit rapidly rising asset prices, extreme valuations and significant systemic risks driven by increased leverage,”
a team led by Peter Oppenheimer, chief global equity strategist at the bank, told clients.
The current rally is “greatly dependent” on earnings momentum continuing.
The biggest risk for tech right now, says the Goldman team, is competition, noting how the AI space has thus far been dominated by a few incumbents.
A plethora of new companies will be formed in emerging industries we cannot even imagine today.
MarketWatch Oct. 8, 2025
The AI Spending Boom Is Massive But Not Unprecedented
The boom in capital expenditures related to generative artificial intelligence is generating questions about its sustainability.
AI investment is around 1.3% of GDP.
The current AI investment boom is significant, but its economic impact is still smaller than that of the late 1990s tech-investment boom and the late 19th-century railroad investment boom.
If it were to end suddenly there would be unpleasant consequences, but at this point there’s nothing especially alarming.
At a few big tech companies, though, the spending is like nothing they’ve ever attempted. Either it pays off, or there will be some very challenging years ahead.
Overshooting and correction is in the nature of investment booms, which in the past tended to benefit society even if not always those who did the investing.
We’re still using fiber-optic cable laid in the late 1990s and early 2000s, and relying on some railroad infrastructure from 1873.
Justin Fox Bloomberg October 8, 2025
OpenAI, Nvidia Fuel $1 Trillion AI Market With Web of Circular Deals
A wave of deals and partnerships are escalating concerns that the trillion-dollar AI boom is being propped up by interconnected business transactions.
Is the Flurry of Circular AI Deals a Win-Win—or Sign of a Bubble?
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/is-the-flurry-of-circular-ai-deals-a-win-winor-sign-of-a-bubble-8a2d70c5
Elon Musk’s xAI may be the next AI company to do a creative financing deal involving Nvidia
xAI reportedly is looking to raise $20 billion — with Nvidia as one of the investors
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