Bernanke and Blanchard conclude that because inflation today reflects a too-hot labor market, the solution is to cool it off.
To bring inflation back to the Fed’s target, they estimate unemployment would have to rise above 4.3% from its current 3.4% assuming vacancies remain difficult to fill.
But, they say, inflation could drop without a significant increase in unemployment if the ease of hiring returns to prepandemic norms. The good news: There are tentative signs that is happening.
Greg Ip WSJ 23 May 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-inflation-erupted-two-top-economists-have-the-answer-6919042c
Kommentarer