Private Credit Fears Deepen; UBS Warning

Warnings about the $1.8 trillion industry have been building in recent days, triggered by Blue Owl Capital, with some comparing it to the 2008 financial crisis and others arguing the gloom is overdone.industry have been building 

One way to drum up cash may involve selling assets to collateralized loan obligations, Citigroup analysts flagged. Such a move could cause leverage to balloon tenfold while masking risk, they warned.

Some estimates suggest that the firms have 40% of all sponsor-backed loans tied up in the software industry.

Money manager Danny Moses, meanwhile, of The Big Short fame, said the aggressive push by private markets into retail products reminds him of the years preceding the subprime mortgage crisis.

Earlier this week JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon doubled down on his previous warnings of credit market “cockroaches,”

lambasting the “dumb things” some lenders are doing and highlighting the similarities to the run-up to the financial crisis.

Bloomberg February 25, 2026

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-24/ubs-now-sees-private-credit-defaults-reaching-15-in-worst-case

Investment bankers in leveraged finance — the lucrative lending that oils the wheels of M&A and feeds the $1.3 trillion market for collateralized loan obligations 

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2023/10/a-shrinking-13-trillion-securities.html

“When you see one cockroach /kackerlacka/, there are probably more.”

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2025/11/many-investors-now-believe-that-private.html


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