When opening the New Academic Building of the London School of Economics in November 2008 she asked Professor Luis Garicano why nobody had noticed that the credit crunch was on its way.
“Why did nobody notice it?” she queried. His reply: “At every stage, someone was relying on somebody else, and everyone thought they were doing the right thing.”
The following year the British Academy convened a forum to debate the issue, and that group presented its findings to the queen on July 22, 2019
— that the crisis had been foreseen, but not the exact timing of its onset of its ferocity. In summary, the panel concluded that the crisis came about as “principally a failure of the collective imagination of many bright people, both in this country and internationally, to understand the risks to the system as a whole.”
MarketWatch 9 September 2022
In late 2008 Queen Elizabeth II famously asked why no one had seen the downturn coming.
When the Queen asked asked an academic at the LSE why the economics profession had failed to predict the credit crunch, she raised a topic which continues to resonate.
Although many answers have been given to Her Majesty’s question, I suspect that none of them has really settled the issue. Her question is disarmingly simple, but the answer is not.
Gavyn Davies blog, February 10, 2011