In 1946 George Kennan wrote his 5,400-word “Long Telegram”

I’m guessing Kennan would see the west’s arming of Ukraine as a canny way to raise Russia’s price of invasion. His analysis implies that Putin might take another bite out of Ukraine, but not attempt long-term occupation.

Kennan cautioned Washington against seeking to humiliate the Kremlin. 

Simon Kuper 17 February 2022

https://www.ft.com/content/c74c2f95-ed96-423c-b1c4-595d47d39cdf

 

 The first log was the ill-considered decision by the U.S. in the 1990s to expand NATO after — indeed, despite — the collapse of the Soviet Union.

And the second and far bigger log is how Putin cynically exploited NATO’s expansion closer to Russia’s borders to rally Russians to his side to cover for his huge failure of leadership.

Thomas L. Friedman New York Times

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/21/opinion/putin-ukraine-nato.html

 

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