Antibody tests will soon tell us

We will have a clear sense of how many people have already had Covid-19 and whether or not there really is an iceberg of asymptomatic cases below the visible tip. 

What if the bad scenario is avoided, but not completely?

Let us suppose that serological antibody tests show the true picture to lie somewhere between the two poles: neither enough infections to reach herd immunity thresholds (and therefore to contemplate dialing down the lockdown); nor the clarity of economic Armageddon in the necessary defence of life.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, Telegraph  1 April 2020



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