Big falls, not only in the price but also in the valuation

One example: Microsoft has dropped from 34 times estimated 12-month forward earnings to 24 times since the start of the year—even as predicted earnings have risen. 

Something similar has happened to the S&P 500 as a whole, where the forward price-to-earnings ratio is down from 22 to 18, while Wall Street has lifted its forecasts for earnings.

James Mackintosh WSJ 18 May 2022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/recession-looms-but-markets-havent-got-the-message-11652866209


Det genomsnittliga p/e-talet är 27, mätt på nästkommande års vinst. 

Allt över 20 brukar anses som mycket högt.

SvD 11 juni 2021

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2021/06/det-finns-risk-for-bakslag-sager-maria.html


The cyclically adjusted p/e (CAPE), a measure created by economist Robert Shiller, “now stands over 27

has been exceeded only in the 1929 mania, the 2000 tech mania, and the 2007 housing and stock bubble,”

MarketWatch 20 December 2016

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2016/12/the-cyclically-adjusted-pe-cape-measure.html



Kommentarer

Populära inlägg i den här bloggen

Det svänger fort på räntemarknaden

Fjolåret blev strålande för flera av de största fondbolagen