Reversion to a mean is the expectation.
Which mean to revert to is the problem.
Following are a few models for considering where the market might ultimately land.
Lu Wang and Elaine Chen Bloomberg 12 maj 2022
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-05-12/with-stock-selloff-raging-views-abound-on-where-it-will-end
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