Guldlock och de tre björnarna

An inverted yield curve signals fears of a recession

 “The Goldilocks scenario is that the Fed slows the economy enough to reduce inflation from the current 8.6%, 40 year-high level without tipping us into recession,” said Ellen Hazen

 “And so any data point that suggests that either inflation is coming down faster so that the Fed can take their foot off the brake quicker, or that recession looks less likely through coincident indicators, would give the market relief.”

Bloomberg 7 July 2022

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-06/bonds-drop-post-fed-stocks-set-for-steady-start-markets-wrap

U.S. consumer confidence leaps to 17-month high on waning inflation and fewer recession worries - MarketWatch

The yield curve has flattened this week

Englund: The yield curve has flattened this week (englundmacro.blogspot.com)

The goldilocks outlook

https://www.internetional.se/goldilock.htm

Guldlock och de tre björnarna

https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guldlock_och_de_tre_bj%C3%B6rnarna