The yield curve has flattened this week
The yield curve shows the relationship between short-term and long-term interest rates of U.S. Treasury notes. Usually, the longer the duration, the higher the interest rate, but when the rates draw closer to one another, the yield curve flattens.
An inversion of the curve is typically seen as a warning signal for the market.
The yield curve has flattened this week, with long-dated bonds nearing their lowest point for a year on Thursday, as investors speculated that early rate hikes from the Fed could curtail spiraling inflation. Yields move inversely to prices.
“We’re going to watch real yields go from the most negative levels we’ve seen since like 1974 to a meaningful real yield, and that is catastrophic for risk assets,” Smead concluded.
Not everyone shares Smead’s bearish view, however.
Why the Yield Curve Is Flattening (And What That Means)
Bloomberg 8 oktober 2020
https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2021/11/big-shift-in-global-monetary-policy.html
The shape of the yield curve is watched closely by investors and economists as a barometer of market expectations about the future path of growth.
FT 2 december 2021
https://www.ft.com/content/056c2bb6-1ba7-46ad-ab43-e5b21e1c379d
More about the yield curve
https://www.internetional.se/conundrum.html#mauldiny
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