New York’s office block apocalypse is underway – you can’t give them away

Commercial property crisis threatens a fresh wave of US bank failures

Emergency lending by the US federal authorities has bathed America’s struggling regional banks in short-term liquidity, disguising the slow-burn damage of the US commercial property slump.

A sobering analysis by four of the country’s leading finance experts says this comfort blanket has created a beguiling illusion of stability.




The underlying crisis in the banking system continues to deepen as $5 trillion of commercial real estate debt taken out during the zero-rate era comes due in tranches.

“It’s not a liquidity problem; it’s a solvency problem,” said Professor Tomasz Piskorski

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard 5 January 2024 




A rising wave of property defaults threatens hundreds of US banks

Lenders are still gambling on resurrection, a reflex of ‘extend and pretend’ in the hope that office rents will recover and that struggling borrowers will be able to service their debts again.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Telegraph 27 October 2023

 


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