The problem: many central banks are pledging to stamp out inflation, “whatever it takes”
Inflation today is the manifestation of a deeper regime shift: the end of the “Great Moderation
People have long thought this remarkable feat was the result of good policy. There’s an alternative hypothesis. Perhaps it was just good luck.
The only way to bring inflation down is to crush the interest-rate sensitive parts of the economy that are not responsible for today’s inflation.
We are facing the starkest trade-off between inflation and growth since the early 1980s. Central banks will have to crush the economy to kill inflation. Or we might be forced to live with more inflation.
This is not a trivial choice.
Jean Boivin FT 4 July 2022
https://www.ft.com/content/feabcdca-8f7d-47ee-8bc1-dd30c23b9354
The writer is head of the BlackRock Investment Institute and former deputy governor of the Bank of Canada
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