The usual way to rein in inflation is to raise rates above their neutral level

—thought to be about 2-3%—by more than the rise in underlying inflation. That points to a federal-funds rate of 5-6%, unseen since 2007.

Rates that high would tame rising prices—but by engineering a recession.

Does the Fed have the stomach to inflict such economic pain? 

Many economists advocate higher inflation  There is nothing special about 2%, except the fact that the Fed has promised it in the past.

Editorial The Economist 23 April 2022

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2022/04/23/why-the-federal-reserve-has-made-a-historic-mistake-on-inflation


Powell wants to get closer to neutral. But what’s that? 

Think between 5% and 6%

MarketWatch 3 May 2022

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-wants-to-get-closer-to-neutral-but-whats-that-think-between-5-and-6-former-top-fed-staffer-says-11651566417


Fed Officials’ plans for their $9 trillion asset portfolio 

reflect many similarities—and differences—from earlier experiment to shrink holdings

In 2017, when the Fed concluded the stimulus was no longer needed, it began to shrink its portfolio passively—that is, by allowing bonds to mature without reinvesting the proceeds, rather than actively selling them in the open market.

WSJ 1 May 2022

https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-prepares-double-barreled-tightening-with-bond-runoff-11651397402


Riktiga karlar är inte rädda för lite inflation

https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2021/07/us-inflation-today-is-much-more-like.html

Kommentarer

Populära inlägg i den här bloggen

Röd Öppning - Red Opening

Niklas Ekdal, bunkergängets apologet

Tickande bomben i Heimstaden AB