Is 2025 a timely manner?
Fed is now closer to a level of borrowing costs it deems “sufficiently restrictive” to bring inflation down to its longstanding 2 per cent target in a timely manner.
FT 26 July 2023
https://www.ft.com/content/110bd237-cbf2-463d-b1b5-edcb98245851
For over 20 years, Williams and company have been estimating the long-run neutral (or natural) rate — known to economists as r-star.
This is the interest rate at which the economy is humming along at its potential, with full employment and inflation at 2 per cent. R-star is a guiding light for central banks.
Fed Chair Powell: Fed staff are no longer forecasting recession
Fed Chair Powell: A return to 2% inflation could come by 2025
CNBC 26 July 2023
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