But what do these numbers really mean?
I don’t think the near-term rebound will be merely a statistical phenomenon resulting from the low base in 2020.
Rather, it reflects a massive increase in involuntary savings, monetary and fiscal stimulus, and the targeted generosity of bailout programs.
How long it will last will depend on a complex combination of factors, including the speed at which personal savings are spent down, the continuance (or suspension) of government support, inflationary signals, and the behavior of markets – which themselves will be influenced by all of the above.
Jim O’Neill Project Syndicate 6 April 2021
Jim O’Neill, a former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management and a former UK treasury minister, is Chair of Chatham House and a member of the Pan-European Commission on Health and Sustainable Development.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/economic-boom-2021-will-it-last-by-jim-o-neill-2021-04
Germany waking up to the glaringly obvious need for productivity-enhancing, investment-based fiscal stimulus.
https://englundmacro.blogspot.com/2019/09/glaringly-obvious-skriande-uppenbart.html
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