Why the worst of this stock-market correction may be over
If this downturn is typical, the S&P 500 will lose 13.6% in total, bottom in mid-May and be recovered by September.
To repeat, the data reported so far in this column depend on the assumption that this is a correction rather than the beginning of a bear market.
What does history tell us to expect if indeed this correction does become a bear market? The picture isn’t pretty.
The median bear market lasts 261 days and involves a peak-to-trough loss in the S&P 500 of 32.7%.
If we’re in a median bear market, therefore, the market’s decline will last until Nov. 7
and the S&P 500 will drop by 25.1% more than it has already
Mark Hulbert MarketWatch 14 March 2025
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-the-worst-of-this-stock-market-correction-may-be-over-3537231c
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